New Poll Shows Latimer Favored Strongly Over Bowman in Primary Run

A new poll out Tuesday shows Rye Guy and Westchester County Executive George Latimer with a significant lead over incumbent Congressman Jamaal Bowman among likely Democratic primary voters in the NY-16 Congressional District. The Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey finds 48% of voters support Westchester County Executive George Latimer, while 31% support incumbent Representative Jamaal Bowman. Twenty-one percent are undecided.

The primary is on Tuesday, June 25th with early voting beginning this Saturday, June 15th (the City of Rye has its own early voting center for the first time).

Polling Highlights

“Voters under 40 break for Bowman: 44% to 35%, while voters over 40 break for Latimer,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Democratic primary voters ages 40-59 break for Latimer 53% to 31%, while voters in their 60s break for Latimer 46% to 29%, and voters over 70 break for Latimer 53% to 22%.”

Black voters break for Bowman, 48% to 34%, and white voters for Latimer, 62% to 20%. Hispanic voters are split evenly, with 36% supporting Bowman and Latimer respectively.

Fifty-one percent have a favorable view of the incumbent congressman, while 43% have an unfavorable view of him. Six percent are not familiar with Bowman. Sixty-five percent of voters have a favorable view of Latimer, while 23% have an unfavorable view. Twelve percent are undecided.

The economy (22%) and housing affordability (21%) are the top issues for Democratic primary voters in the district, followed by threats to democracy (14%), healthcare (13%), crime (12%), and immigration (6%).

Forty-five percent of voters align more with George Latimer on the war between Israel and Hamas, 29% align more with Bowman, and 26% are unsure. Voters under 40 align more with Bowman than Latimer on the war, 54% to 32%, while voters 40-59 align with Latimer 43% to 28%, in their 60s, 52% to 17%, and over 70 49% to 22%.

This survey was funded by Nexstar Media and has a margin of error (MOE) of +/- 4.7 percentage points. You can view the full results.

If you missed the League of Women Voters debate Monday evening between the two candidates, you can view it in its entirety here: